Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 0.208765 0.242176 0.279231 0.323383 0.374573 0.432077 0.501613
2025-06-08 0.154624 0.198753 0.252906 0.324288 0.415999 0.530016 0.682787
2025-06-15 0.127749 0.176194 0.239920 0.329969 0.454143 0.619692 0.857802
2025-06-22 0.105496 0.154088 0.221728 0.322878 0.470645 0.679212 0.997092
2025-06-29 0.090246 0.138519 0.209083 0.319918 0.490139 0.742582 1.147198
2025-07-06 0.079558 0.127654 0.201105 0.321660 0.515294 0.815478 1.318845
2025-07-13 0.073916 0.123518 0.202364 0.337098 0.562581 0.926651 1.562998
2025-07-20 0.068301 0.118502 0.201312 0.348196 0.603545 1.031662 1.809288
2025-07-27 0.063368 0.113872 0.200116 0.358527 0.643894 1.139515 2.072795
2025-08-03 0.057925 0.107582 0.195185 0.361464 0.671212 1.227341 2.310733
2025-08-10 0.052138 0.099900 0.186795 0.356932 0.684077 1.290193 2.509570
2025-08-17 0.046257 0.091296 0.175665 0.345804 0.682963 1.326580 2.661653
2025-08-24 0.043386 0.088234 0.174766 0.354563 0.721911 1.444722 2.991354
2025-08-31 0.039910 0.083562 0.170239 0.355646 0.745869 1.536636 3.280581
2025-09-07 0.037367 0.080455 0.168408 0.361879 0.780871 1.654349 3.637600
2025-09-14 0.033765 0.074671 0.160402 0.354098 0.785202 1.708655 3.864664
2025-09-21 0.030973 0.070293 0.154832 0.350850 0.798837 1.784033 4.147263
2025-09-28 0.028894 0.067245 0.151772 0.352761 0.824094 1.887489 4.506326
2025-10-05 0.028138 0.067118 0.155149 0.369703 0.885722 2.079523 5.096480
2025-10-12 0.027068 0.066126 0.156438 0.381883 0.937546 2.254738 5.668072
2025-10-19 0.026007 0.065026 0.157341 0.393220 0.988638 2.433929 6.271881
2025-10-26 0.024518 0.062698 0.155057 0.396444 1.020025 2.568891 6.780622
2025-11-02 0.022685 0.059289 0.149764 0.391470 1.030049 2.651968 7.165123